BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arizona St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 45 Overall: (4-1) Overall Strength = 179.59
Conference: Big 12 Conference Record: (2-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 168.86 38 19 1B 31 (4-2) Northern Arizona -8.59 * 18.02 27.59
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 178.92 20 24 1A 41 (4-2) Mississippi St 1.47 -0.23 -5.47
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 182.78 34 15 1A 86 (3-2) Texas St-San Marcos 5.33 1.60 13.67
4 09/20/2025 Away W * * 174.99 27 24 1A 68 (4-2) Baylor -2.45 16.27 5.45
5 09/26/2025 Home W * * 181.68 27 24 1A 36 (4-1) TCU 4.23 4.68 -1.23
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1A 31 (4-1) Utah -7.57
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1A 2 (5-0) Texas Tech -28.31
8 10/25/2025 Home * * 1A 56 (4-1) Houston 6.17
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 35 (5-1) Iowa St -6.37
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 89 (2-4) West Virginia 17.88
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 58 (2-4) Colorado 2.69
12 11/28/2025 Home * * 1A 55 (4-1) Arizona 5.89
Averages 177.45 29.2 21.2
Best game: 182.78 = 19 point win over Texas St-San Marcos
Worst game: 168.86 = 19 point win over Northern Arizona
Team stdev: 5.66