BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 42 Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  162.89
Conference: Big 12 Conference Record: (6-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-4)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W     153.81  38  19   1B  24 ( 7- 5) Northern Arizona       -9.08     18.02   28.08                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L   * 158.99  20  24   1A  57 ( 5- 7) Mississippi St         -3.90     -0.25   -0.10                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W   * 167.31  34  15   1A  88 ( 6- 6) Texas St-San Marcos     4.43      1.60   14.57                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    W * * 162.26  27  24   1A  61 ( 5- 7) Baylor                 -0.63     16.26    3.63                      
 5 09/26/2025 Home    W * * 165.71  27  24   1A  35 ( 8- 4) TCU                     2.82      4.63    0.18                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    L * * 151.18  10  42   1A   7 (10- 2) Utah                  -11.71     -7.64  -20.29                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    W * * 187.56  26  22   1A   3 (12- 1) Texas Tech             24.67    -32.00  -20.67                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    L * * 151.96  16  24   1A  50 ( 9- 3) Houston               -10.93      5.60    2.93                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    W * * 173.18  24  19   1A  32 ( 8- 4) Iowa St                10.30     -5.46   -5.30                      
10 11/15/2025 Home    W * * 151.36  25  23   1A  78 ( 4- 8) West Virginia         -11.53     12.63   13.53                      
11 11/22/2025 Away    W * * 179.12  42  17   1A  81 ( 3- 9) Colorado               16.23      5.46    8.77                      
12 11/28/2025 Home    L * * 152.22   7  23   1A  23 ( 9- 3) Arizona               -10.67     -3.35   -5.33                      
      Averages             162.89  24.7 23.0

Best game:  187.56 = 4 point win over Texas Tech
Worst game: 151.18 = 32 point loss to Utah
Team stdev:  12.09