BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 45 Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength =  161.67
Conference: Big 12 Conference Record: (5-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-3)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W     155.28  38  19   1B  19 ( 7- 4) Northern Arizona       -6.39     18.02   25.39                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L   * 160.01  20  24   1A  47 ( 5- 6) Mississippi St         -1.66     -0.25   -2.34                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W   * 165.75  34  15   1A  90 ( 4- 6) Texas St-San Marcos     4.08      1.60   14.92                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    W * * 162.38  27  24   1A  56 ( 5- 5) Baylor                  0.71     16.26    2.29                      
 5 09/26/2025 Home    W * * 162.53  27  24   1A  46 ( 6- 4) TCU                     0.86      4.63    2.14                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    L * * 153.48  10  42   1A   6 ( 8- 2) Utah                   -8.19     -7.64  -23.81                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    W * * 183.30  26  22   1A   3 (10- 1) Texas Tech             21.63    -31.97  -17.63                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    L * * 150.12  16  24   1A  52 ( 8- 2) Houston               -11.54      5.65    3.54                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    W * * 171.43  24  19   1A  40 ( 6- 4) Iowa St                 9.77     -5.48   -4.77                      
10 11/15/2025 Home    W * * 152.41  25  23   1A  75 ( 4- 7) West Virginia          -9.26     12.66   11.26                      
11 11/22/2025 Away      * *                  1A  68 ( 3- 7) Colorado                                  5.41            
12 11/28/2025 Home      * *                  1A  27 ( 7- 3) Arizona                                  -3.65            
      Averages             161.67  24.7 23.6

Best game:  183.30 = 4 point win over Texas Tech
Worst game: 150.12 = 8 point loss to Houston
Team stdev:  10.06