BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arizona St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 161.52
Conference: Big 12 Conference Record: (6-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 152.69 38 19 1B 25 ( 7- 5) Northern Arizona -8.82 18.02 27.82
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 156.96 20 24 1A 60 ( 5- 8) Mississippi St -4.56 -0.25 0.56
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 168.01 34 15 1A 84 ( 7- 6) Texas St-San Marcos 6.49 1.60 12.51
4 09/20/2025 Away W * * 161.05 27 24 1A 65 ( 5- 7) Baylor -0.47 16.26 3.47
5 09/26/2025 Home W * * 165.70 27 24 1A 35 ( 9- 4) TCU 4.18 4.63 -1.18
6 10/11/2025 Away L * * 150.06 10 42 1A 7 (11- 2) Utah -11.46 -7.64 -20.54
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 184.79 26 22 1A 3 (12- 2) Texas Tech 23.27 -31.98 -19.27
8 10/25/2025 Home L * * 151.09 16 24 1A 49 (10- 3) Houston -10.43 5.61 2.43
9 11/01/2025 Away W * * 171.91 24 19 1A 33 ( 8- 4) Iowa St 10.39 -5.48 -5.39
10 11/15/2025 Home W * * 150.22 25 23 1A 85 ( 4- 8) West Virginia -11.30 12.65 13.30
11 11/22/2025 Away W * * 178.15 42 17 1A 83 ( 3- 9) Colorado 16.63 5.44 8.37
12 11/28/2025 Home L * * 150.26 7 23 1A 26 ( 9- 4) Arizona -11.26 -3.32 -4.74
13 12/31/2025 Neutral L * 158.86 39 42 1A 44 ( 9- 5) Duke -2.66 0.30 -0.34
Averages 161.52 25.8 24.5
Best game: 184.79 = 4 point win over Texas Tech
Worst game: 150.06 = 32 point loss to Utah
Team stdev: 11.50